Beyond the numbers: Mackenzie manager spotlight

No matter what market conditions prevail, the Mackenzie Global Equity and Income Team believes the key to long-term growth is to identify high-quality companies.

Here, portfolio managers Darren McKiernan and Katherine Owen discuss how their career experiences have shaped their investment approach, their methods of choosing which companies to invest in, and how they identify the business models that have a competitive advantage.

Let’s start early on in your careers. What was your first job in the financial industry?

Darren: I started my career at a bank-owned Canadian asset manager back in 1995, the year of the Quebec Referendum. When I applied for the job, I was given a company to look at called Seagram which was still an iconic, TSE-traded Canadian-based company. I had to present my report to the firm’s board, and they asked me pretty directly, "Well, what happens if the Referendum leads to secession?" I said, "Well, Seagram’s sales are going to go up, and we'll be drinking a lot more." Fortunately, there was a bit more to my analysis and I got the job.

Katherine: I actually started out in retail sales for a very short period of time, because I always knew I wanted to be in investing, and I wanted to help people in an advisory role. Then, very quickly, I realized I wanted to move more to the analytical and research side.


Can you describe your investment approach?

Darren: We want to own industry leaders. Whether we're looking at an energy company or a software company, we want to own businesses that have demonstrated top-quartile growth, margins, returns — all the things that you’d associate with a leading company. At the same time, our edge comes from our flexibility. We own companies that look statistically expensive and we own companies that are cheap. The commonality between them is that they’re leaders.

Katherine: Coming from a more traditional value investing background, I think one of the key lessons that I learned is not to put valuation ahead of the quality of a business. Building on what Darren said, it’s not about boxes or classifications. A stock can move from value to growth and back to value again, depending on the price; however, the underlying business model stays the same. 

Why are quality companies important, particularly during times of market uncertainty?

Katherine: Because when you think about the financial attributes of quality companies, they tend to be the leaders of their industry with very strong competitive advantages.That's what enables them to generate very strong cash flow through very strong margins. In difficult times, they can use that cash flow to actually make their business stronger through research and development, share buybacks, scoop up competitors, or paying dividends.


How do you assess quality?

Darren: Assessing whether or not a company is high quality involves close scrutiny of its operating model and what underpins its profitability and returns on capital.

The first thing we look for is whether the business will still be around in 15 or 20 years. There are the obvious examples: people are still going to feed their pets; they're probably still going to be drinking Johnny Walker scotch and Jameson whiskey. On a more esoteric level, however, there are companies we own like industrial gas companies where customers can sign 20-year contracts: this highlights the quality and long-term stability of the business.


How do you define a moat?

Katherine: A moat is a competitive advantage that leads to growth and profits. That profitability has to be defensible. They could be differentiated and be a low-cost provider. When we think about moats, we also think about the industry a company operates in. We ask, is there organic growth in the industry and how well positioned is that company to take share? That's where the moat — or the competitive advantage — comes into play. Because if you have strong competitive advantages, you're not only going to grow with the industry, but you’re also going to be the winner in it. 

How do you determine whether a company has long-term growth prospects?

Katherine: When we think about the growth of a company, we want to look past any potential economic weakness to assess what that long-term growth rate is. The second thing that we look at is its ability to grow in adjacent markets. That's where capital allocation comes into play — the ability of management teams to spend that money wisely to create shareholder value.


How do you decide whether to trade or hold a stock?

Darren: Overwhelmingly, it’s because the thesis has changed. Which is a much nicer way of saying the fundamental view of the company was wrong. If we have a better idea, if we're paying a lower price for what we think to be superior business, then it's an easy decision.

The thing about investing is, no matter how much work you do – how well you know the company, how well you think you understand the business – the world is a fluid and dynamic place, and you can still be wrong. It’s not the winners that will ultimately determine performance – it’s how well you manage your mistakes.

The market can be very short-term in its thinking. We look out beyond one or two quarters, making our judgement calls on what we think a company will look like next year, three years from now, 10 years from now.

What’s the worst market event you ever worked through and what did you learn from it?

Darren: The Global Financial Crisis. I have a greater appreciation for balance sheets today than I did before this happened. For example, the reason why we all love exchanges as opposed to banks is a direct output from our experience at that time because exchanges don't have balance sheet risk. Volatility is their friend, while banks are levered, which works both ways. When times are good, leverage is great. When times are bad, you've got a problem. That was a big lesson learned.


What keeps you motivated?

Katherine: I love my job. I love working with this team. I think anyone in the investment industry has to love learning because you're constantly learning something new every day. And then, even once you’ve learned something, you have to relearn it because the industry changes or new data comes in.

Darren: I come from a small town in Manitoba; none of my family is in this business. I got really lucky when I was in university. I took an investment course and got some exposure to the investment world reading books by Peter Lynch and Warren Buffet. It was such an “aha” moment because there were both numbers and creativity involved. I got lucky finding this career — I've never felt like I've worked yet.

Before we end the interview, let’s do a final question. Giving a one-word answer, which stock do you wish you'd bought that you didn't?

Katherine: Lululemon.

Although Lululemon may not have been on their radar early on in their careers, the team has continued to take advantage of market opportunities as they arise and seek growth for their investors. They remain hyper focused on quality and bringing new solutions to important challenges facing investors. 

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